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john.dentice's avatar

That's a great piece Jans.

It really helped me understand the mechanism by which gold "solves" Government's indebtness / deficit problems and is likely to be used. It also makes it clearer why so many CB's / Governments have been buying physical gold in recent years (over-and-above the confiscation of Russian Reserves).

Bessent is good friends with Stan Druckenmiller and Mike Green. Two very sharp minds. He is well advised and shrewd. His goal to lower 10Y yields in an effort to stabilize the US Government balance sheet has been stymied by his predecor, Yellen.

Yellen has left a massive mess as she left (Repo facility depleted, duration of US Govenment debt much lower, skew towards Bills vs. Coupons).

Bessent's options, using conventional means are thus limited. 'Asset Monetization' is a very shrewd strategy. Maybe he and Druck, or Green, have been talking?

If we look at the flow of physical gold from London --> COMEX and who is doing it, we can speculate that other asset managers (associates of Bessent? Within the circle?) are speculating on exactly what you lay out. The narrative of 'tariff fears' may be partially right, but I suspect there is a bigger picture. In addition, the 'logistics issues' getting gold out of London Vaults suggest that it would be wise to be at the front of the line. There are a lot of paper claims on a dwindling stack of physical gold ...

Cheers John

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AW's avatar

Excellent analysis. Just wondering though if they still have the 8133 tonnes of gold or not!

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